Aljif7's Blog
Thursday 14 August, 2025
AREA: Finance
BABA Bullish
BABA is at a critical point where it could have Bulish momentum.
BABA price is at 122 HKD at the moment of this post.
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Recent News on BABA (Alibaba)
Morningstar Raises Alibaba's Fair-Value Estimate
Morningstar, a leading financial research firm, recently raised its fair-value estimate for Alibaba from HK$146 to HK$152 per share. This adjustment reflects a 31% upside potential compared to the previous estimate. The positive outlook from Morningstar was well-received by investors, as it boosted confidence in Alibaba's future prospects. Following the announcement, Alibaba's shares closed 6.1% higher at HK$123.70, indicating strong market sentiment and investor optimism.
This upward revision in the fair-value estimate suggests that Morningstar believes Alibaba is undervalued relative to its intrinsic worth. Factors contributing to this reassessment likely include the company's robust business fundamentals, strategic initiatives, and potential growth opportunities in key markets such as e-commerce, cloud computing, and digital advertising.
Alibaba's June Quarter Results: Marketing Revenue Growth
Alibaba's latest quarterly results for the June quarter revealed projected marketing revenue growth of 6.4%. While this represents a positive trend, it falls short when compared to Tencent's impressive 20% rise in ad sales, which has been driven by the adoption of new AI technologies. This disparity highlights a notable gap in performance between the two tech giants, particularly in the area of advertising revenue.
Tencent's success in leveraging AI technologies to enhance its advertising capabilities has given it a competitive edge. By integrating advanced AI tools into its platforms, Tencent has been able to deliver more targeted and effective ads, resulting in higher revenue growth. In contrast, while Alibaba has also been investing in AI, its marketing revenue growth appears to be more moderate, suggesting room for improvement in this segment.
What to Watch Moving Forward
- AI Integration: How quickly and effectively Alibaba can integrate AI technologies into its core businesses, particularly in advertising and e-commerce, will be crucial for driving future growth.
- Regulatory Environment: Continued monitoring of regulatory developments in China and other key markets will be important, as regulatory changes can significantly impact tech companies like Alibaba.
- E-commerce Trends: With e-commerce remaining a cornerstone of Alibaba's business, as a result of tracking consumer spending patterns and emerging trends will provide insights into the company's resilience and adaptability.
In summary, while Alibaba faces challenges in certain areas, such as marketing revenue growth, the recent positive updates from Morningstar and the company's overall strategic direction suggest that it remains a key player in the global tech landscape. Investors will be closely watching how Alibaba navigates these dynamics and capitalizes on emerging opportunities.
Remember, this is not a Financial Advice, do your own deligences.
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