Using the method of mathematician Sergei Shpilkin, we estimated the share of “anomalous” votes in the last election. We used data based on the results of processing 97% of the CEC protocols collected by the Nevybory channel.
Excluding electronic voting, 74.5 million voters took part in the elections. 64.7 million of them, according to the CEC, voted for Putin.
It follows from our analysis that Putin received at least 31.6 million votes through fraud, meaning that about half of the votes for him were thrown in.
This is a record level of voter fraud in a Russian presidential election. There was so much falsification that it is almost impossible to identify the range of “honest” votes using statistical methods.
The Shpilkin method reveals how many votes were “added” to the winner through ballot stuffing and rewriting of the final protocols. It does this by comparing the distribution of votes for different candidates with the turnout at each polling station.
If the election was fair, the distribution of votes for the leading candidate and all the other candidates should be identical, i.e. they should differ only in absolute value due to the different number of votes, not in form. However, a throw-in for one of the candidates affects the distribution: it increases both the turnout and the result.
We will provide more details on the assessment of ballot box stuffing in our upcoming publications.
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Uncovering Electoral Anomalies: Analytical Insights
Utilizing Sergei Shpilkin's Method for Electoral Analysis, we delved into the recent election dynamics. Leveraging data from 97% of the CEC protocols, sourced via the Nevybory channel, our examination revealed startling insights.
Excluding electronic votes, the election saw 74.5 million participants, with 64.7 million reportedly voting for Putin according to the CEC.
Our analysis indicates that at least 31.6 million votes attributed to Putin were procured through fraudulent means, illustrating that nearly half of the votes in his favor were manipulated.
This marks a pinnacle of electoral fraud in Russian presidential history, with falsifications so pervasive that discerning the true extent of legitimate votes is immensely challenging.
Shpilkin's methodology elucidates the magnitude of votes "added" to the victor through ballot stuffing and protocol manipulation, as evidenced by discrepancies in vote distributions across polling stations.
In a fair election scenario, vote distributions should mirror turnout patterns, differing only in absolute values. However, anomalies skew this equilibrium, inflating both turnout figures and candidate results.
Stay tuned for forthcoming publications where we delve deeper into the assessment of ballot box irregularities.
ElectionFraud #ElectoralAnalysis #RussianPolitics #ShpilkinMethod #BallotBoxStuffing
Conclusion: Electoral integrity stands compromised, with our analysis revealing unprecedented levels of fraudulent activity. Addressing these systemic issues is imperative for upholding democratic principles.
Keywords: Election Fraud, Voter Manipulation, Sergei Shpilkin, Electoral Integrity, Ballot Box Irregularities.
Links: Nevybory Channel