Jupiler League Week 10 Saturday Previews

@costanza · 2025-10-04 12:16 · Sports Talk Social

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These are previews from matches involving Belgian Teams with all the latest on team news, player form, and injuries along with my personal betting angles, ...

In total I made a rounded down +0.4 units profit on the match yesterday which was one that I went in with not the highest conviction, as I only saw a limited edge on the team I saw winning which time after time turn out to be the best bets opposed to the ones where I see big value. I might force myself to start betting these a bit bigger but it remains quite tricky. 3 Matches on Saturday to have a closer look at...


Kv Mechelen vs Stvv

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Mechelen last week got the away win against Charleroi who had too many players missing. They are now 4th in the standings and they feel similar to the previous seasons in that they are capable of putting in good performances but at the same time feel they at any time can go on a long losing streak completely losing it. The main statistic they stand out on are the corners as they are 7-2 on the over 9.5 corners. They didn't have too high xg in their last 3 matches always ranging around 1 but also don't get too much against. Sint-Truiden had started the season with an easy schedule where they took a ton of points but they are now with 3 losses in a row against Westerlo, Brugge, & Genk creating the expected regression to the mean. Last week they played an ok match at home against Genk especially in the first half but they got a red card early in the 2nd half and eventually lost with a last second goal. Based on that match, I have them as a team to possibly back as the underdog. The line today on Mechelen at a high -0.25 handicap feels about right. I do expect a match where both kind of want to go for it and details could make out who wins it. The only bet I took is 0.1 units on Over 10 Corners @ 1.960 with an eye to possibly increase on this at a higher line and higher odds very early in the match.


La Louviere vs Zulte-Waregem

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This is a match between the 2 promoted teams who have performed better than everyone generally expected. Waregem is sitting in a comfortable 7th place after taking 3 wins in a row against Antwerp, Charleroi, & Leuven who at the moment are 3 really poor teams. La Louviere is 10th and they haven't lost in their last 3 matches with a 0-0 draw over Dender, and wins against Leuven and Club Brugge. Especially at home so far they have done good and managed to keep things closed in the defense as they are 4-0 on the under. They are capable of locking things down while at the same time their own created xg rarely goes above 1. I do see them as a team who are willing to go forward if things are even or if they are behind. I'm not 100% what exactly to expect from this match and the bets that I look at all have just too short odds. I would consider La Louviere +0 @ 1.86+ / La Louviere 1H Corners +0 @ 1.8+ / Under 2.75 @ 2.75. For now I will stay away and will see what the match brings. The main angle I have going into this match is to back the team who falls behind on the corners. No Pre-Game Bets


Antwerp vs Cercle Brugge

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Antwerp right now is just poor which is what you get if you sell all your best players not really replacing them and taking a cheap rookie coach who has zero communication skills and the only solution to only play defense. It has been week after week a team with a defensive minset who still get tons of xg against (1.64 on average in the last 4) while they barely create anything even at home. In their last 4 matches they average below 1 xg created. On top of this, key players Praet & Kerk are injured and they have very limited options on the bench. The main thing they still have is their Name and good fans at home. Cercle Brugge has been a team that started the season not fully ready yet but they have had a couple solid performances as of late. They did lose against AA Gent at home last week but played a good 1st half and kind of ran out of energy late in the match. Away against Mecheklen was rather poor quality which ended in a 0-0 but they had more xg. They also didn't play the best match against Charleroi getting 3 goals against but they had more xg. The match this reminds me most of is when Cercle played away against Standard putting up a good performance and winning 0-3. Basically, I like Cercle Brugge as the underdog tonight to possibly even win it by multiple goals making it the end for Antwerp Coach and time for change. I tookd 0.2 units on Cercle Brugge +0.25 @ 1.803 / 0.1 unit on Cercle Brugge +0 @ 2.142, & 0.06 units on Cercle Brugge 1H +0 @ 2.075. I'm kind of also leaning toward the over even though I expect Antwerp again defensively. Their xg against is just too high while Cercle recently manages to create a lot. So likely more bets in-game


I take all my Pre-Game & Live bets with my Betting Broker Sportmarket Pro who always provides the best offers on the market with a 1 click solution and doesn't limit winning players offering high limits. For more info check my Sportmarket Pro Review

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I share many of my pre-game bets in all my preview posts as bold selections (& also on the SBC Discord) which are all counted as 1-unit flat bets. See these just as info and not as actual betting advice. If you do follow, make sure to shop around for the best odds. So far this season I had 12 of these bets which gave +1.731 units of profit good for +14.43% ROI. The Previous 5 seasons showed 769 of these bets good for +42.786 units Profit and +5.56% ROI. (Last Update 27/09/2025)


Season 2025-2026 Crypto Bets

Date Bet Stake Odds Result Bookie
23/09/2025 AA Gent +0.75 30 USDC 1.990 -15 USDC Solcasino.io
23/09/2025 AA Gent TT O1 0.37 LTC 2.060 -0.37 LTC Sportbet.one
23/09/2025 AA Gent +1 0.53 LTC 1.730 +0.00 LTC Sportbet.one
23/09/2025 AA Gent 1H +0.25 0.47 LTC 1.980 +0.32 LTC Sportbet.one
14/09/2025 AA Gent +0.5 CK 100 USDC 1.850 -100 USDC dexsport.io
12/09/2025 Standard +0.5 CK 74 USDC 1.840 +62.2 USDC dexsport.io
31/08/2025 Union 1H Over 2.5 CK 50 USDC 1.750 +37.5 USDC Solcasino.io
24/08/2025 Union 1H Over 2.5 CK 62 USDC 1.690 -62 USDC Solcasino.io
24/08/2025 Union 1H CK -1.5 100 USDC 2.070 -100 USDC dexsport.io
12/08/2025 Brugge vs Salz More Goals 2H 40 USDC 2.000 +40 USDC Solcasino.io
10/08/2025 Anderlecht -2 0.27 LTC 4.200 -0.27 LTC Sportbet.one
03/08/2025 Genk CK 1H -1.5 80 USDC 2.640 -80 USDC dexsport.io
03/08/2025 Genk CK 1H -0.5 100 USDC 1.740 +74 USDC dexsport.io

Crypto & Blockchain-Based Bookies and Exchanges that I'm personally using with some allowing anonymous betting with no KYC or personal restrictions...

Previous Crypto Bet Results & Record

Year Bets Won Lost Push Staked Profit BTC ROI
2023-2024 33 14 18 1 0.02233 -0.00103 -4.61%
2023-2024 56 25 28 3 0.0469 -0.0139 -29.6%
2022-2023 76 42 31 3 0.1685 +0.029687 +17.62%
2021-2022 56 27 25 4 0.115 +0.0166 +14.45%
2020-2021 4 1 2 1 0.0250 -0.002845 -11.38%
2019-2020 1 1 0 0 0.0100 +0.01271 +127%
2018-2019 59 24 27 5 0.5900 -0.02199 -3.7%
2017-2018 136 65 64 7 1.233 +0.112687 +9.14%
2016-2017 70 34 34 2 0.658 +0.006912 +1.05%
Total 491 233 229 26 2.86873 +0.138831 +4.84%

IMPORTANT !

Past results don't guarantee Future Results. There are very few people who are equipped financially and psychologically to handle the ups and downs of gambling on a daily basis. If you're not a professional, every instinct you have will attempt and probably will sabotage your success. Human nature runs completely contrary to being successful at gambling. These bets are posted as a way to help myself in order to stay disciplined, always hold yourself accountable if you end up following. Proper Bankroll Management can highly decrease the risk of heavy losses!

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