The Steem-Oracle Project: World Cup Prediction Game Update #7 (Part 1)

Hello Steemians! The final whistle of the England vs Belgium match concluded the group stage of World Cup 2018. In this post, I will be summarizing the performance of Wisdom of Steemians (WoS) so far.

215 Steemians provided a total of 1591 prediction entries over 19 games. In addition, there are several Steemians who stick by the Steem Oracle experiment so far and participated in all 19 games 👍. And they are: - @andreasgrubhofer - @seanytan - @vietthuy - @frdem3dot0 - @gandalfthewhite - @jlordc - @anixio

Thanks for the participation once more. Below is a summary of the predictions made so far and the actual results:

Matches	WoS Prediction	Actual Result
Egypt vs Uruguay	Uruguay	Uruguay
Portugal vs Spain	Spain	Tie
Croatia vs Nigeria	Croatia	Croatia
Brazil vs Switzerland	Brazil	Tie
Germany vs Mexico	Germany	Mexico
Sweden vs Korea	Sweden	Sweden
Columbia vs Japan	Colombia	Japan
Portugal vs Morocco	Portugal	Portugal
France vs Peru	France	France
Argentina vs Croatia	Argentina	Croatia
Serbia vs Switzerland	Switzerland	Switzerland
Belgium vs Tunisia	Belgium	Belgium
Poland vs Colombia	Colombia/Poland	Colombia
Uruguay vs Russia	Uruguay	Uruguay
Denmark vs France	France	Tie
Nigeria vs Argentina	Argentina	Argentina
Mexico vs Sweden	Mexico	Sweden
Serbia vs Brazil	Brazil	Brazil
England vs Belgium	Belgium	Belgium

WoS got 12 out of 19 matches correct, which is a 63% accuracy in prediction. Well done! I did further data crunching by doing calculating the weighted prediction for each game based on the Steem Oracle Score of each account. Mostly, the weighted predictions are aligned with the non-weighted ones, except for 2 of the games.

In Portugal vs Spain, the weighted prediction predicted a Portugal win instead of Spain win. And for Poland vs Colombia, the weighted prediction indicated a clear Colombia victory instead of both Poland and Colombia having the same number of votes. I will let this experiment continues till the end to see if a weighted prediction is more accurate than a non-weighted one.

Next, let's take a look at the individual games that were played since the last update.

[Uruguay vs Russia](https://steemit.com/game/@steem-oracle/uruguay-vs-russia-201806234780)

WoS prediction: - Uruguay (38.6%) - Russia (37.8%) - Tie (23.6%)

Actual result: Uruguay won

WoS got it right in this match. Hence, 90% of the SBD + STEEM reward of this contest post will be paid out to correct predictors. The remaining 10% will flow into the Grand Pool. Well done WoS!

Here are the list of predictions that was received for Uruguay vs Russia. If your result is "1", means you will be receiving the rewards 😃.

Voter	Selection	Validity	Result
@psi.acastillo	Tie	Valid	0
@minimining	Russia	Valid	0
@altafwani	Uruguay	Valid	1
@test000th	Uruguay	Valid	1
@rigor	Uruguay	Valid	1
@grof	Russia	Valid	0
@anixio	Tie	Valid	0
@nigerian-yogagal	Russia	Valid	0
@pocketrocket	Russia	Valid	0
@jalayn	Tie	Valid	0
@steemforez	Russia	Valid	0
@adimantong	Uruguay	Valid	1
@shifaadi	Tie	Valid	0
@adiforever	Uruguay	Valid	1
@xiow-loch	Russia	Valid	0
@frdem3dot0	Russia	Valid	0
@marco-asensio	Tie	Valid	0
@ruud-dinn	Russia	Valid	0
@puko	Uruguay	Valid	1
@madara-uciha	Tie	Valid	0
@jonelescalona	Uruguay	Valid	1
@jamalsteem	Uruguay	Valid	1
@nurulsteemit	Uruguay	Valid	1
@dindasteem	Uruguay	Valid	1
@yuniswety4	Russia	Valid	0
@yuniswett454	Tie	Valid	0
@khairiati	Russia	Valid	0
@luth	Uruguay	Valid	1
@vietthuy	Tie	Valid	0
@dianagomez	Uruguay	Valid	1
@alpayabotak	Uruguay	Valid	1
@salsabilaa	Uruguay	Valid	1
@alpaya	Tie	Valid	0
@nurfa	Russia	Valid	0
@suqya	Uruguay	Valid	1
@paykam	Russia	Valid	0
@syukrii	Tie	Valid	0
@nuruldinda	Uruguay	Valid	1
@dienda	Uruguay	Valid	1
@dindanurul	Russia	Valid	0
@nurr	Russia	Valid	0
@shintaa	Tie	Valid	0
@nuroel	Uruguay	Valid	1
@vicspics	Russia	Valid	0
@dindanurul99	Tie	Valid	0
@ascheriit	Uruguay	Valid	1
@dewii	Russia	Valid	0
@iin.sari	Russia	Valid	0
@rafiqah	Uruguay	Valid	1
@cut-sari	Uruguay	Valid	1
@sarimanis	Uruguay	Valid	1
@cut.khairunnisa	Tie	Valid	0
@sriwulan	Uruguay	Valid	1
@ratna.sari	Russia	Valid	0
@dewi.ratna	Uruguay	Valid	1
@salwati	Tie	Valid	0
@chelseaputri	Russia	Valid	0
@natasha.wilona	Uruguay	Valid	1
@sitompul	Uruguay	Valid	1
@woelan	Russia	Valid	0
@kathechan	Russia	Valid	0
@el-cr	Tie	Valid	0
@danlloyd	Tie	Valid	0
@franknavarro	Uruguay	Valid	1
@apple96	Tie	Valid	0
@akbarbadsha	Russia	Valid	0
@rahit47	Russia	Valid	0
@cheekah	Russia	Valid	0
@louzam	Uruguay	Valid	1
@oclinton	Tie	Valid	0
@domingonino	Russia	Valid	0
@andreasgrubhofer	Uruguay	Valid	1
@yocritico	Uruguay	Valid	1
@gandalfthewhite	Russia	Valid	0
@fjmb86	Russia	Valid	0
@jlordc	Russia	Valid	0
@afiqsejuk	Russia	Valid	0
@journeyfreedom	Russia	Valid	0
@vaco	Uruguay	Valid	1
@fastold	Tie	Valid	0
@maltoz	Russia	Valid	0
@anyasiemmanuel	Tie	Valid	0
@ayushsh3tty	Russia	Valid	0
@omkardivya	Russia	Valid	0
@akshaya	Uruguay	Valid	1
@arshitha	Russia	Valid	0
@ashwine	Uruguay	Valid	1
@pravathi	Russia	Valid	0
@barath15	Uruguay	Valid	1
@swapnaram	Russia	Valid	0
@srinithi	Russia	Valid	0
@bhavyalakshman	Uruguay	Valid	1
@ranjith35	Russia	Valid	0
@boomi	Uruguay	Valid	1
@pravesh11	Russia	Valid	0
@mallishwari	Russia	Valid	0
@kirankumar1	Uruguay	Valid	1
@mallika15	Russia	Valid	0
@kumar65	Uruguay	Valid	1
@vintherinvest	Tie	Valid	0
@lavanyalakshman	Russia	Valid	0
@seanytan	Russia	Valid	0
@mrshev	Tie	Valid	0
@egi-lestari	Uruguay	Valid	1
@razikati	Tie	Valid	0
@annadwah	Russia	Valid	0
@marshanda	Uruguay	Valid	1
@ratu-elizabeth	Russia	Valid	0
@riskamameh	Russia	Valid	0
@carlood	Tie	Valid	0
@sri.sundari	Uruguay	Valid	1
@putridevi	Uruguay	Valid	1
@devii	Tie	Valid	0
@intanpermata	Uruguay	Valid	1
@losblancos	Russia	Valid	0
@egistina	Tie	Valid	0
@iamnotvictor	Russia	Valid	0
@hasbydiaz	Tie	Valid	0
@meutuwah	Uruguay	Valid	1
@cryptobeast7	Tie	Valid	0
@development21	Tie	Valid	0
@isabel23011	Uruguay	Valid	1
@cyberyunus	Uruguay	Valid	1
@diffuseloop	Uruguay	Valid	1
@ytmalu	Uruguay	Valid	1
@davor27	Tie	Valid	0
@henrry1954	Nil	Invalid: Did not upvote with enough voting power	0
@maribelquere97	Nil	Invalid: Did not upvote with enough voting power	0
@manuelruiz21	Nil	Invalid: Did not upvote with enough voting power	0
@munaa	Nil	Invalid: Did not upvote with enough voting power	0
@hamsaveni	Uruguay	Valid	1

Congratulations to all winners and here is the official highlight video from FIFATV:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=I_YrTEiOVGo

Line%20Big%20Steem%20Blue%20Divider.png

[Denmark vs France](https://steemit.com/contest/@steem-oracle/denmark-vs-france-201806249155)

WoS prediction: - Denmark (18.3%) - France (59.6%) - Tie (22.1%)

Actual result: Tie

WoS got it wrong in this match. Hence, 50% of the SBD + STEEM reward of this contest post will be paid out to correct predictors. The remaining 50% will flow into the Grand Pool.

Here are the list of predictions that was received for Denmark vs France. If your result is "1", means you will be receiving the rewards 😃.

Voter	Selection	Validity	Result
@psi.acastillo	Tie	Valid	1
@saravanan58	France	Valid	0
@vietthuy	Tie	Valid	1
@rigor	France	Valid	0
@khairilafdhal	France	Valid	0
@davor27	Tie	Valid	1
@ballajm21nt5	France	Valid	0
@dianagomez	France	Valid	0
@adimantong	France	Valid	0
@shifaadi	Denmark	Valid	0
@steemforez	Tie	Valid	1
@adiforever	Denmark	Valid	0
@xiow-loch	France	Valid	0
@marco-asensio	Tie	Valid	1
@ruud-dinn	France	Valid	0
@puko	Denmark	Valid	0
@madara-uciha	Tie	Valid	1
@anixio	Tie	Valid	1
@ascheriit	France	Valid	0
@grof	Tie	Valid	1
@dindanurul99	France	Valid	0
@dewii	France	Valid	0
@iin.sari	Denmark	Valid	0
@jonelescalona	France	Valid	0
@rafiqah	France	Valid	0
@cut-sari	France	Valid	0
@sarimanis	Tie	Valid	1
@yuniswett454	Denmark	Valid	0
@apple96	Tie	Valid	1