How Did I Make This Mistake?! Stake House Den

I had been logging in daily to Stake House Den for about a month and receiving 200 Hot Sauce rewards every day. Yesterday, however, I was out all day and didn't log in to the game, so I missed the daily login reward. Now I have to start over to receive the rewards...  [source](https://unsplash.com/photos/a-man-is-playing-a-game-of-roule-on-a-green-table-9F-qHniQxQc), [source](https://splinterlands.gitbook.io/stakehouse-den-whitepaper)   In the last screenshot I took, you can see that I was receiving 200 Hot Sauce rewards every day. In fact, I had received the reward for the 22nd day, but I think the streak broke on the 23rd day.  How much Hot Sauce will this cost me? At least I'll continue receiving 200 Hot Sauce daily starting from day 7, and I've lost 675 Hot Sauce. But there's nothing I can do about it now. Let's look ahead and try another Stake House Den experiment together. ## Roulette Experiment  What I'll try today is how many attempts it will take for one of the greens to come up in roulette, and will it be worth the bet I'm making? I don't know how many times the reward will be compared to black or red, but it should be high, right? Because it's a pretty low probability. In fact, it's the lowest probability after knowing a number directly.  I didn't win even once in the first 11 bets. But I noticed that the number 7 came up multiple times. I don't know if that's statistically significant, and probably if I bet on the number 7, it won't come up again, but whatever XD  Okay, even on the 20th try, not a single green number, i.e., zero or double zero, came up. I don't know if this was always the case, but now you can see how many hot sauce points you've used in the bottom left corner. This way, I don't have to count how many times I've spun the roulette wheel myself. That's a nice development.  Guys, on the 26th spin, 0 came up, and I managed to win. As a reward, I got 0.81 colony tokens. Is that good? I need to do different tests to compare. I'll spend the same total amount of hot sauce here as I would in other games and use the same number of spins. So, if I bet 10 hot sauce here, I'll do the same in the others.  Of course, I need to do more trials now so the odds are similar. That's why I won't stop until I reach 60 times, meaning I'll spend 600 hot sauce. On the 39th try, 0 came up again, and I won once more!  It wasn't just wins; sometimes the numbers were right next to 0 and 00. Even though that's disappointing, I think I have a good winning rate.  By the 50th spin, I had still won twice. The reason the total loss of 480 hot sauce is listed below is that the amount didn't increase when I won. If I win one more time by the 60th spin, I'll consider myself lucky.  Unfortunately, I didn't win again until the 60th spin. Looking at the total results, I spent 600 Hot Sauce and earned a total of 1.62 Colony tokens. Thanks to the Colony tokens I staked, I earned 17% more Colony.  By the way, to show you how much higher the payout is compared to red or black, I also placed the same amount of hot sauce on red. And I think it yields about 1/17.5 of the payout. That's all for today. The next experiment will likely be on blackjack. And finally, I'll try slots because I mostly play that. Taking a break from it will be good. Thanks for reading, see you in the next post!