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Ways to time the top * Different ta/fa/sentiment analysis ppl are using * Google searches * Number of days after halving (halving to peak analysis) * Pi cycle * 2 year moving average * Bitcoin Rainbow bands * Unrealised profit and loss vs actual Bitcoin price * Puell multiple * MVRV Z-Score * RHODL Ratio * Reserve Risk * Woobull’s indicators (on-chain data) * Hyperinflation fears * Stablecoin regulation fears * Maybe mention our model * Weiss timing model (pure price data) * Talk about how difficult it is to time it * Usual mistakes people make like buying in denial phase or in bear trap * Aka dead cat bounce or relief rally * Talk about the most mentioned targets for BTC and ETH * Plan B’s stock to flow model for Bitcoin * Has us at $107k * Cross-asset model has us at $255k * WCP has a price target for ETH of at least $10k * Since the top cannot be time exactly (analysis), what about an exit plan (strategy)? * Scaling out i.e. selling into strength and lading out * Can be done subjectively as data comes in * Can be done objectively by placing limit orders at various price levels then walking away
▶️ 3Speak