[ENGLISH]
The WEEKLY FRONTIER DRAW started with the 08/12 update. This is pretty exciting! Even beginners should be able to get it with a decent probability, right?
The most expensive reward is probably the Legendary Black Foil Arcane card? I can't even begin to guess how much it will cost!
By the way, here's what the rare promotional card, ARCANE SKINWAKER, looks like.
1.46 million DEC, huh? Since it's a promo card, I wonder if Foundations would be this expensive even if it were a rare GFA?
But since there are so few GFA cards, the price is meaningless. It'll probably be super expensive.
By the way, BF SKINWAKER looks like this. It costs 800,000 DEC. That's still pretty expensive! I want BF. If I could have my wish, I'd want a Legend card. I want to earn Conflict points. I want to get rich with airdrops.
Incidentally, I only have two entries. There are 2,700 entries in total, so if it ended at this moment, what are the odds of winning something? It's probably around 0.074%. At the very least, it's a BF card, so I'd be happy if I won.
No, that's wrong! Since 76 cards are distributed, the probability of all tickets being losers is approximately 94.5%, which is 99.926% to the power of 76. In other words, there is a 5.5% chance of winning! That's a really high probability!
If this is roughly the number of entries per day, then 7 times that would be about 18,900 entries, and I collect 3 entries every day, so that's 21 entries in 7 days... Roughly speaking, the probability of winning is 0.11%. If you draw 76 cards...
The probability of losing is about 92%, which means there's an 8% chance of winning? Compared to the lottery, it seems like a really high probability, but is that just my imagination?
Well, there's a chance I got the math wrong, so if you can do the math, check it yourself. My memory is pretty unreliable. I should have studied harder.
By the way, I want the Archon card from BF.
Changing the subject, I've been trying hard to say “Archon,” but it's getting tiresome, so how about “Summner” instead? The spellings ‘Archon’ and “Arcane” are similar, and I'm getting tired of correcting myself.
I wonder if native English speakers notice this? I hear that Japanese has many homonyms, such as 橋 (hashi) and 端 (hashi), or 蜘蛛 (kumo) and 雲 (kumo), which can be difficult to distinguish. Is it the same thing?
But I digress.
Well, what I want is BF's Summoner. The reason is that even if I raise the unit's level, it's meaningless because of the Summoner, which is frustrating.
For example.
If you raise LITTLE SISTER to level 2, you can use Flying, and her magic attack power becomes 2, which is very strong, but the summoner must be at least level 3.
Level 3 means you need 14 THALGRIMORE cards. It's hard to collect 14 cards! And they're quite expensive to buy! 🤣
MARLAI SINGARIEL is also a good choice! This card is not only powerful in Frontier mode, but also in Modern mode. There are many magic attack cards in Modern mode!
Also, if a new player gets a BF, they can sell it and use the money to buy cards! You need to buy a spellbook to trade cards, but since a single BF costs over $100, there's no point in being stingy with a $10 spellbook!
If you find it too much trouble to buy a spell book, please consult with me. I will buy it ~~from you at a very low price~~. 😉
The images below include the BATTLE URL with a referral link. If you are thinking of getting started, take a look at the BATTLE before you sign up.
[日本語]
08/12のアップデートで WEEKLY FRONTIER DRAW が始まりましたね。これはかなり熱いですよ!初心者でも結構な確率で手に入るんじゃない?
最も高価な報酬は Legendary Black Foil Arcane カードかな?いったいいくらになるのか予想もできないね!
ちなみに。プロモーションカードのレア、 ARCANE SKINWAKER がこんなこんな感じ。
146万 DECですね。 これはプロモカードだから、Foundations はレアGFAでもこんなには値段つかないのかな?
でも、GFA なんて枚数がめちゃくちゃ少ないわけだから値段なんてあってないようなもの。すっごいねだんになるんだろうなー
ちなみに、BF SKINWAKER はこんな感じ。80万DECです。これでも十分高いね!BF欲しいなぁ。欲を言えばレジェンドカードでほしいなー Conflictのポイント稼ぎたいなーエアドロップでウハウハしたいなー
ちなみに私はまだ2エントリーです。全体で2700エントリーだから、この瞬間終わったのなら、0.074%くらいの確率で何かが当たるのかな?最低でもBFカードだから当たればうれしいけれども。
ちがうか!76枚配られるから、99.926%の76乗で、約94.5%の確率で全外れ。つまり、約5.5%の確率で当選できるってこと!?めっちゃ高確率ッス!
これが大体1日分のエントリー量だとすると、7倍で18,900エントリーくらい集まるし、私は毎日3エントリーを集めて7日で21エントリーだから... 大体、当たりを引ける確率は0.11%になると。これを76枚分引くならば...
全て外れる確率は92%くらい、つまり8%で当選する?宝くじと比べたらすっごい高確率に思えるんだけど気のせいッスかね?
まぁ、計算間違ってる確率もあるから、確率計算できるなら自分でも確認してね。私の記憶はかなり適当。もっとちゃんと勉強しておけばよかった。
ちなみに私はBFの Archonカードが欲しいです。
話は変わるけど、がんばってArchonって言ってたけど、もう面倒になってきたのでSummnerでもいよね?スペルも Archon と Arcane で似てるしタイポを直すのもいい加減面倒になってきたんですよ?
ネイティブの英語話者は気にならないのかな?日本語でも橋(hashi)と端(hashi)とか、蜘蛛(kumo)と雲(kumo)とか同音異義語が沢山あるのが大変って聞くし、同じようなもんなのかな?
閑話休題
さて、欲しいのはBFのサモナーなんです。なんでかっていえばユニットのレベルを上げてもサモナーのせいで意味が無いのがつらいから。
例えば。
LITTLE SISTER をレベル2にしたらFlyingを思えて魔法攻撃力が2になってすごく強いと思うんだけどサモナーのレベルが最低でも3必要です。
レベル3ってことは THALGRIMORE が14枚必要。14枚も集めるのは大変なんですよ!買うと地味に高くつくし!🤣
後は MARLAI SINGARIEL なんかもいいね!このカードは単純にFrintierモードで強いだけでなく、むしろModernで強い。Modernなら魔法攻撃カードが沢山あるからね!
それに、新人さんがBFを手に入れたらそれを売り飛ばしてカードを揃えるっていう手もあるね!カードを売買するためにはスペルブックを購入する必要があるけど、BFが1枚で $100 オーバーなんだから、 $10 のスペルブックなんてケチってる場合じゃないッス!
どうしてもスペルブックを買うのが面倒っていう場合は私に相談してください。 ~~めっちゃ安く~~ 買い取らせてもらいますよ。😉
T以下の画像をは紹介リンク付きBATTLE URLを含みます。 これから始めようと思っているなら、バトルを見てから登録してみてね。